STRUCTURE PATTERN
Head and shoulders
A three-peak structure with a higher centre peak and a neckline.
Rules visible before the outcome
- Left shoulder, higher head and lower right shoulder
- Two intervening troughs define the neckline
- Symmetry tolerance is explicit
02 / CONFIRMATION
When the idea becomes eligible
A close beyond the neckline, optionally followed by a retest.
03 / INVALIDATION
What proves it wrong
A recovery above the right shoulder or head, depending on the chosen entry.
The attractive mistake
Subjective geometry makes the pattern easy to see after the outcome.
Make it falsifiable
Encode swing detection first, then lock tolerance before classification.
1Freeze the geometry
2Timestamp eligibility
3Count every outcome
4Test unseen data