CANDLESTICK PATTERN
Morning and evening star
A three-bar sequence describing impulse, hesitation and opposing close.
Rules visible before the outcome
- Strong first candle
- Small middle body
- Third candle closes materially into the first
02 / CONFIRMATION
When the idea becomes eligible
The third close plus a predefined structural or regime filter.
03 / INVALIDATION
What proves it wrong
Beyond the pattern extreme.
The attractive mistake
Gap-based textbook definitions translate poorly to continuous weekday FX.
Make it falsifiable
Use body ratios rather than requiring equity-style gaps.
1Freeze the geometry
2Timestamp eligibility
3Count every outcome
4Test unseen data