FAILED BREAKOUT PATTERN
Wyckoff spring and upthrust
A failed range break interpreted within a larger accumulation or distribution framework.
Rules visible before the outcome
- A mature range is defined first
- Price breaches a boundary
- Price returns and shows acceptance inside
02 / CONFIRMATION
When the idea becomes eligible
A sign-of-strength or sign-of-weakness rule after re-entry.
03 / INVALIDATION
What proves it wrong
Renewed acceptance outside the range.
The attractive mistake
Narrative phase labels can be reassigned after every price move.
Make it falsifiable
Test the failed-break component first before adding phase labels.
1Freeze the geometry
2Timestamp eligibility
3Count every outcome
4Test unseen data